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022 _a00218596
040 _aMSU
_bEnglish
_cMSU
_erda
050 0 0 _aS3 JOU
100 1 _aHurtado-Uria, Cristina
_eauthor
245 1 0 _aEvaluation of three grass growth models to predict grass growth in Ireland/
_ccreated by Cristina Hurtado-Uria, Deirdre Hennessy, Laurence Shalloo, R.P.O. Schulte, Luc Delaby and Declan O'Connor
264 1 _aCambridge :
_bCambridge University Press,
_c2013.
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _aJournal of agricultural science
_vVolume 151, number 1,
520 3 _aGrass growth in temperate regions is highly seasonal and difficult to predict. A model that can predict grass growth from week to week would offer a valuable management and budgeting tool for grassland farmers. Many grass growth models have been developed, varying from simple empirical to complex mechanistic models. Three published grass growth models developed for perennial ryegrass swards in temperate climates were selected for evaluation: Johnson & Thornley (1983) (J&T model), Jouven et al. (2006) (J model) and Brereton et al. (1996) (B model). The models were evaluated using meteorological data and grass growth data from Teagasc Moorepark as a framework for further refinement for Irish conditions. The accuracy of prediction by the models was assessed using root mean square error (RMSE) and mean square prediction error (MSPE). The J&T model over-predicted grass growth in all 5 years examined and predicted a high primary grass growth peak, while the J and B models predicted grass growth closer to that measured. Overall, the J model had the smallest RMSE in 3 of the 5 years and the B model in 2 of the 5 years. In spring (February–April), the B model had the lowest RMSE and MSPE. In mid-season (April–August), the B model had the closest prediction to measured data (lowest RMSE), while in autumn (August–October) the J model had the closest prediction. The models with the greatest potential for grass growth prediction in Ireland, albeit with some modifications, are the J model and the B model.
650 _aGrass growth models
_vManage grass supply
_xFeed prediction
_zIreland
700 1 _aHennessy, Deirdre
_eco author
700 1 _aShalloo, Laurence
_eco author
700 1 _aSchulte, R.P.O.
_eco author
700 1 _aDelaby, Luc
_eco author
700 1 _aO'Connor, Declan
_eco author
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859612000317
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c168765
_d168765