000 02153nam a22002537a 4500
003 ZW-GwMSU
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022 _a07339488
040 _aMSU
_bEnglish
_cMSU
_erda
050 0 0 _aHT169 JOU
100 1 _aGao, Yujie
_eauthor
245 1 0 _aProcess modeling for urban growth simulation with cohort component method, cellular automata model and GIS/RS :
_bcase study on surrounding area of Seoul, Korea/
_ccreated by Yujie Gao and Dae-Sik Kim
264 1 _aReston :
_bASCE,
_c2016.
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _aJournal of urban planning and development
_vVolume 142, number 2
520 3 _aThis study developed a process model that includes three steps for urban growth simulation. A preprocessing step is required to classify three satellite images acquired in 1990, 2000, and 2009 into six land-use types using remote sensing (RS) and geographic information systems (GIS). The first step of the process model is to project the population using a cohort component method for 2014. The second step is to quantify the demand for urban land use based on a regression model between population and urban land use. The third step is to optimize the weighting values for six criteria using the weighted scenario method (WSM), cellular automata (CA) model, and GIS in order to make a grid-based optimal potential suitability map for urban growth. Two accuracy assessment methods, pixel-by-pixel comparison and calculation of zonal statistics, were adopted to evaluate the accuracy of simulation results. This study also showed that the process model can still be used according to population growth scenarios even if the population increases or decreases suddenly due to socioeconomic or political factors that cannot be projected using the cohort component method.
650 _aProcess modelling
_vUrban growth simulation
_xPopulation forecasting
_zSeoul, South Korea
700 _aKim, Dae-Sik
_eauthor
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)UP.1943-5444.0000260
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c167073
_d167073