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022 _a01446193
040 _aMSU
_bEnglish
_cMSU
_erda
050 0 0 _aHD9715.A1 CON
100 1 _aEspinoza, David
_eauthor
245 1 0 _aDecoupled NPV:
_ba simple, improved method to value infrastructure investments
_ccreated by David Espinoza and Jeremy W.F. Morris
264 1 _aAbingdon:
_bTaylor and Francis,
_c2013
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _aConstruction Management and Economics
_vVolume 31, number 4-6
520 3 _aDespite its shortcomings, because of its simplicity, the net present value (NPV) technique (or its close relative, the internal rate of return) remains the valuation method most widely used by investors. In this method, all risks associated with a project are lumped into a single parameter (i.e. the risk premium) that is added to the risk-free interest rate to obtain a risk-adjusted discount rate; thus, in essence, the time value of money is adjusted for risk. However, because risk and time are two separate variables, accounting for risk in this manner can lead to substantial valuation errors, particularly for long-term investments which are typical for large infrastructure projects. In this paper, an alternative valuation method that decouples the time value of money from the risk associated with a project is presented. The proposed method, termed decoupled net present value (DNPV), is also simple yet flexible, consistent and robust. The method allows investors to integrate heuristic (i.e. experience based) techniques with sophisticated probabilistic and stochastic techniques to price the risk associated with the value of the asset created and/or the investment needed to create the asset. The proposed method results in a consistent valuation free from the problems typically associated with traditional net present value applications and, more importantly, allows a seamless integration of project risk assessment/management performed by technical experts into the project financial valuation.
650 _aDNPV
_vProject finance
_xRisk management
700 1 _aMorris, Jeremy W.F.
_eco-author
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1080/01446193.2013.800946
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c165901
_d165901