000 01964nam a22002657a 4500
003 ZW-GwMSU
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022 _a10704965
040 _aMSU
_bEnglish
_cMSU
_erda
050 0 0 _aHC79 JOU
100 1 _aPepper W.
_eauthor
245 1 0 _aProbabilistic modeling of sulfur and nitrogen pollution controls and their relations with income
_ccreated by W. Pepper, A. Sankovski, and J. Leggett
264 1 _aThousand Oaks:
_bSAGE,
_c2005
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _aThe journal of environment & development
_vVolume 14, number 1
520 3 _aThe objective of this article is to evaluate (via modeling) the impact of different pollution control scenarios on the shape of the income-emissions relationship. The simulation of emissions and emission controls was conducted using the Climate Change Risk Assessment Framework, which projects SO2and NOxemissions from energy consumption and conversion and non-energy sources. The analysis of resulting scenario-, region-, and gas-specific income-emission curves suggests that income alone as a model driver of future emissions cannot adequately capture all plausible future SO2or NOxemission pathways, or important differences among regions in those trajectories. Future social choices regarding the degree and strategy for environmental protection introduce large uncertainties in future projections and result in differing relationships between income and emissions. The analysis also suggests that the inverted-U shape (hypothesized Environmental Kuznets Curve) is only one of several plausible forms of the future relationship between income and emissions.
650 _aEmmission controls
_vProbabilistic
_xIncome
700 1 _aSankovski A
_eco-author
700 1 _aLeggett J
_eco-author
856 _u10.1177/1070496504273611
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c164740
_d164740