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022 _a0148558X
040 _aMSU
_bEnglish
_cMSU
_erda
050 0 0 _aHF5601 JOU
100 1 _aJohnson, W. Bruce
_eauthor
245 1 0 _aContrarian share price reactions to earnings surprises/
_ccreated by W. Bruce Johnson and Rong Zhao
264 1 _aThousand Oaks:
_bSage
_c2012
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _aJournal of accounting, auditing and finance
_vVolume 27, number 2
520 3 _aA persistent (but overlooked) feature of the cross-sectional distribution of quarterly earnings announcement returns is that the measured earnings surprise and share price response to that surprise are often in the opposite direction. Extending the study by Kinney, Burgstahler, and Martin, this study provides evidence on the prevalence, determinants, and consequences of contrarian stock returns at the earnings announcement date. Using the most recent Institutional Brokers’ Estimate System (I/B/E/S) consensus earnings per share forecast as the earnings benchmark, the authors find that contrarian returns occur for roughly 40% of the more than 230,000 quarterly earnings announcements that comprise their sample. Contrarian returns are only slightly less prevalent in extreme earnings surprise deciles and are evident each quarter during 1985-2005. The incidence of contrarian returns is statistically related to “noise” in the measured earnings surprise (stale I/B/E/S consensus forecasts, preannouncement stock returns, and the presence of Generally Accepted Accounting Principles [GAAP] exclusions) and “noise” in the share price response to announced earnings (discordant revenue changes, discordant earnings forecast revisions, return volatility, bid-ask spread, and discordant prior quarter earnings surprises). Finally, contrarian stocks exhibit little post-earnings-announcement drift.
650 _aContrarian stock returns
_vEarnings surprises
_xPost-earnings-announcement drift
700 1 _aZhao, Rong
_eco author
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1177/0148558X11409
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c164662
_d164662