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022 _a02664666
040 _aMSU
_bEnglish
_cMSU
_erda
050 0 0 _aHB139.T52 ECO
100 1 _aPhillips, Peter C. B
_eauthor
245 1 0 _aUnit root and cointegrating limit theory when initialization is in the infinite past
_ccreated by Peter C. B. Phillips and Tassos Magdalinos
264 1 _aCambridge:
_bCambridge University Press,
_c2009.
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _aEconometric theory
_vVolume 25, number 6
520 3 _aIt is well known that unit root limit distributions are sensitive to initial conditions in the distant past. If the distant past initialization is extended to the infinite past, the initial condition dominates the limit theory, producing a faster rate of convergence, a limiting Cauchy distribution for the least squares coefficient, and a limit normal distribution for the t-ratio. This amounts to the tail of the unit root process wagging the dog of the unit root limit theory. These simple results apply in the case of a univariate autoregression with no intercept. The limit theory for vector unit root regression and cointegrating regression is affected but is no longer dominated by infinite past initializations. The latter contribute to the limiting distribution of the least squares estimator and produce a singularity in the limit theory, but do not change the principal rate of convergence. Usual cointegrating regression theory and inference continue to hold in spite of the degeneracy in the limit theory and are therefore robust to initial conditions that extend to the infinite past.
650 _aUnit root test
_vTime series analysis
_xCointegration
650 _aScientific modelling
_xTheory
700 1 _aMagdalinos, Tassos
_eco author
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466609990296
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c164569
_d164569