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022 _a02664666
040 _aMSU
_bEnglish
_cMSU
_erda
050 0 0 _aHB139.T52 ECO
100 1 _aHansen, Bruce E.
_eauthor
245 1 0 _aAveraging estimators for regressions with a possible structural break
_ccreated by Bruce E. Hansen
264 1 _aCambridge:
_bCambridge University Press,
_c2009.
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _aEconometric theory
_vVolume 25, number 6
520 3 _aThis paper investigates selection and averaging of linear regressions with a possible structural break. Our main contribution is the construction of a Mallows criterion for the structural break model. We show that the correct penalty term is nonstandard and depends on unknown parameters, but it can be approximated by an average of limiting cases to yield a feasible penalty with good performance. Following Hansen (2007, Econometrica 75, 1175–1189) we recommend averaging the structural break estimates with the no-break estimates where the weight is selected to minimize the Mallows criterion. This estimator is simple to compute, as the weights are a simple function of the ratio of the penalty to the Andrews SupF test statistic.
650 _aEstimation theory
_vRegression analysis
_xStructural break
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466609990235
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c164558
_d164558