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022 _a02664666
040 _aMSU
_bEnglish
_cMSU
_erda
050 0 0 _aHB139.T52 ECO
100 1 _aMedeiros, Marcelo C
_eauthor
245 1 0 _aModeling multiple regimes in financial volatility with a flexible coefficient GARCH (1,1) model
_ccreated by Marcelo C. Medeiros and Alvaro Veiga
264 1 _aCambridge:
_bCambridge University Press,
_c2009.
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _aEconometric theory
_vVolume 25, number 1
520 3 _an this paper a flexible multiple regime GARCH(1,1)-type model is developed to describe the sign and size asymmetries and intermittent dynamics in financial volatility. The results of the paper are important to other nonlinear GARCH models. The proposed model nests some of the previous specifications found in the literature and has the following advantages. First, contrary to most of the previous models, more than two limiting regimes are possible, and the number of regimes is determined by a simple sequence of tests that circumvents identification problems that are usually found in nonlinear time series models. The second advantage is that the novel stationarity restriction on the parameters is relatively weak, thereby allowing for rich dynamics. It is shown that the model may have explosive regimes but can still be strictly stationary and ergodic. A simulation experiment shows that the proposed model can generate series with high kurtosis and low first-order autocorrelation of the squared observations and exhibit the so-called Taylor effect, even with Gaussian errors. Estimation of the parameters is addressed, and the asymptotic properties of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator are derived under weak conditions. A Monte-Carlo experiment is designed to evaluate the finite-sample properties of the sequence of tests. Empirical examples are also considered.
650 _aFinancial economics
_vVolatility
_xARCH model
700 1 _aVeiga, Alvaro
_eco author
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1017/S026646660809004X
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c164495
_d164495