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040 _aMSU
_bEnglish
_cMSU
_erda
050 _aHC800 JOU
100 1 _aDebrun, Xavier
_eauthor
245 _aShould African monetary unions be expanded?:
_bAn empirical investigation of the scope for monetary integration in Sub-Saharan Africa
_cby Xavier Debrun, Paul R. Masson and Catherine Pattillo
264 _aOxford :
_bOxford University Press,
_c2011
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _vVolume 20, number 2
520 _aThis paper develops a cost–benefit analysis of monetary integration and applies it to the currency unions being actively pursued in Africa. While many related studies have highlighted the problems associated with shock asymmetries, very few analyses have attempted to weigh these against potential benefits. In our model, the benefits of monetary union come from a more credible monetary policy and a correspondingly lower inflationary bias, while the costs derive from both output shock asymmetries (which are identified with different terms of trade movements) and fiscal disparities. Using African data, we estimate key equilibrium relationships of the model. These capture quite well the cross-country variation in inflation and fiscal revenues, allowing us to calibrate the full model. The model simulations indicate that the proposed East African Community, Economic Community of West African States and Southern Africa Development Community monetary unions bring about net benefits to some potential members, but that many other prospective members record relatively modest net gains and sometimes net losses. The paper also discusses how strengthening domestic monetary and fiscal institutions is an alternative that can provide some of the same benefits of monetary unions and therefore reduce their relative attractiveness.
650 _aMonetary Integration
_zSub-sahara Africa
700 1 _aMasson, Paul R.
_eco-author
700 1 _aPattillo, Catherine
_eco-author
856 _u10.1093/jae/ejr005
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c164392
_d164392