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040 _aMSU
_cMSU
_erda
100 _aEFTHIMIADIS, T
245 _aEconomic growth in Greece
_bthe cost of a failed adjustment programme
264 _aNew York
_bTaylor & Francis
_c2013
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _aApplied Economics Letters
_vVolume , number ,
520 _aThis article aims to assess the cost of failure of Greece's ‘First Economic Adjustment Programme’, in terms of potential Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth. In particular, real GDP trends are estimated through filtering techniques and compared with those had the first programme been successful. The trend growth rate of GDP is estimated at −3.84% (2012Q2), against −2.21% if the targets and forecasts of the first adjustment programme had been realized. The results indicate that the failure of the first programme has had a signifying adverse effect on the country's future growth prospects as current GDP dynamics are far worse than those forecasted in the first programme.
650 _aeconomic growth
650 _aGreek economy
650 _afiltering techniques
700 _aPAPAIOANNOU, S
700 _aTSINTZOS, P
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2013.783679
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c163304
_d163304