| 000 | 01479nam a22002537a 4500 | ||
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| 003 | ZW-GwMSU | ||
| 005 | 20240426095500.0 | ||
| 008 | 230720b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d | ||
| 022 | _a13504851 | ||
| 040 |
_aMSU _cMSU _erda _bEnglish |
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| 050 | 0 | 0 | _aHB1.A666 APP |
| 100 | 1 |
_aRulke Jan - Christoph _eauthor |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 |
_aCurrency crises, uncertain fundamentals and private-sector forecasts _ccreated by Jan-Christoph Rülke and Christian Pierdzioch |
| 264 | 1 |
_aNew York: _bTaylor & Francis, _c2013 |
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| 336 |
_2rdacontent _atext _btxt |
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| 337 |
_2rdamedia _aunmediated _bn |
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| 338 |
_2rdacarrier _avolume _bnc |
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| 440 |
_aApplied economics letters _vVolume 20, number 5 |
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| 520 | 3 | _aThe cross-sectional dispersion of private-sector forecasts has been used in recent research on currency crises as a measure of uncertainty over expected fundamentals. We argue that the cross-sectional dispersion of private-sector forecasts need not only reflect uncertainty over expected fundamentals but may also arise due to a deliberate scattering of forecasts. Using data on foreign exchange (FX) reserve forecasts for 11 South-American and Eastern-European countries, we report evidence of such a forecast scattering that seems more pronounced during the economic crisis of 2008/09. | |
| 650 |
_aCurrency crises _vUncertainty _xPrivate sector forecasts |
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| 700 | 1 |
_aPierdzioch Christian _eauthor |
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| 856 | _uhttps://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2012.716149 | ||
| 942 |
_2lcc _cJA |
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| 999 |
_c162955 _d162955 |
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