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022 _a13504851
040 _aMSU
_cMSU
_erda
_bEnglish
050 0 0 _aHB1.A666 APP
100 1 _aCummins, M
_eauthor
245 1 0 _aMultiple comparisons problem:
_brecent advances applied to energy and emissions
_ccreated by M. Cummins
264 1 _aNew York:
_bTaylor and Francis,
_c2013
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 1 _aApplied economics letters
_vVolume 20, number 9
520 3 _aWithin the field of empirical finance, the econometric analysis of markets commonly suffers from the well-established problem of data-snooping bias, whereby there is a likelihood that statistically significant results may be identified by pure random chance alone. This is the multiple comparisons problem resulting from Multiple Hypothesis Testing (MHT). Recent advances in MHT techniques to control the multiple comparisons problem are uniquely showcased within a VAR and Granger causality testing of energy and emissions market interactions. Four generalized p-value-based MHT techniques show no evidence of interactions between European Union Allowance (EUA) prices and a range of energy prices – spanning key oil, gas, coal and electricity markets – over the first half or so (2008–2010) of Phase II of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme. The generalized familywise error rate procedures show evidence of regional and cross-regional interactions within European electricity markets. However, in contrast, the more conservative false discovery proportion procedures identify much fewer statistically significant relationship and, indeed, show little evidence of such cross-regional electricity market interactions.
650 _aMultiple comparisons problem
_vMultiple hypothesis testing
_xGeneralised familywise error rate
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2012.761334
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c162715
_d162715