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040 _aMSU
_cMSU
_erda
100 _aWANG, Fei
245 _aChlorophyll a simulation in a Lake ecosystem using a model with wavelet analysis and artificial neural network
264 _aNew York
_bSpringer
_c2013
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _a Environmental Management
_vVolume , number ,
520 _aAccurate and reliable forecasting is important for the sustainable management of ecosystems. Chlorophyll a (Chl a) simulation and forecasting can provide early warning information and enable managers to make appropriate decisions for protecting lake ecosystems. In this study, we proposed a method for Chl a simulation in a lake that coupled the wavelet analysis and the artificial neural networks (WA–ANN). The proposed method had the advantage of data preprocessing, which reduced noise and managed nonstationary data. Fourteen variables were included in the developed and validated model, relating to hydrologic, ecological and meteorologic time series data from January 2000 to December 2009 at the Lake Baiyangdian study area, North China. The performance of the proposed WA–ANN model for monthly Chl a simulation in the lake ecosystem was compared with a multiple stepwise linear regression (MSLR) model, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and a regular ANN model. The results showed that the WA-ANN model was suitable for Chl a simulation providing a more accurate performance than the MSLR, ARIMA, and ANN models. We recommend that the proposed method be widely applied to further facilitate the development and implementation of lake ecosystem management.
650 _achlorophyll a simulation
650 _awavelet transformation
650 _aartificial neural networks
700 _aWANG, Xuan
700 _aCHEN, Bin
700 _aZHAO, Ying
700 _aYANG, Zhifeng
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-013-0029-5
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c162444
_d162444