000 02104nam a22002417a 4500
003 ZW-GwMSU
005 20221125160057.0
008 221125b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 _aMSU
_cMSU
_erda
100 _aWhite, Roger
_eauthor
245 _aIntegrated modelling of population, employment and land-use change with a multiple activity-based variable grid cellular automaton
_ccreated by Roger White, Inge ULijee and Guy Engelen
264 _bTaylor and Francis
_c2012
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
440 _vVolume , number ,
520 _aA constrained cellular automaton (CA) framework is used to model both land use and, at the same resolution, densities of population and economic activity. The multi-scale processes determining the location of population, economic activity and land use are captured in a variable grid CA, in which the neighbourhood of each cell includes the entire modelled area. The transition rules generating the spatial dynamics incorporate both the land use and the activities, and because they cover the entire modelled area, they represent interaction effects at all spatial scales; effectively, they are distance decay functions. In general, any particular cell hosts a number of activities (population, employment in various sectors) regardless of its land use, so in effect multiple land uses are modelled as multiple activities, although activity levels are normally highest on cells of the corresponding land use. The model is applied to both the urban-centred Greater Dublin Region and the country of Belgium, which consists of the entire polycentric urban system and its rural matrix. Results for both applications are good, as measured by the errors of both predicted populations and fractal dimensions, and the model outperforms the best existing models by these measures.
650 _acellular automaton
650 _avariable grid
650 _aactivity-based model
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2011.635146
942 _2lcc
_cJA
999 _c160612
_d160612