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An empirical analysis of changes of the impact of federal budget deficits on stock market returns: evidence from the US economy created by Klaus Grobys

By: Material type: TextTextSeries: Applied economics letters ; Volume 20, number 9New York: Taylor and Francis, 2013Content type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
ISSN:
  • 13504851
Subject(s): LOC classification:
  • HB1.A666 APP
Online resources: Abstract: We investigate the causality between the real federal budget deficit returns and real stock market returns for the US economy. We divide the overall sample into two sub-samples running from 1968:1 to 1988:3 and from 1988:4 to 2011:3. In contrast to earlier studies, we find a significant positive relationship between real stock market returns and real federal budget deficit returns for both samples. Moreover, we find that the stochastic interrelations between these variables have considerably changed over time.
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Item type Current library Call number Vol info Copy number Status Notes Date due Barcode
Journal Article Journal Article Main Library - Special Collections HB1.A666 APP (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Vol. 20, no. 9 (pages 921-924) SP17975 Not for loan For In House Use Only

We investigate the causality between the real federal budget deficit returns and real stock market returns for the US economy. We divide the overall sample into two sub-samples running from 1968:1 to 1988:3 and from 1988:4 to 2011:3. In contrast to earlier studies, we find a significant positive relationship between real stock market returns and real federal budget deficit returns for both samples. Moreover, we find that the stochastic interrelations between these variables have considerably changed over time.

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