Foreign direct investment and macroeconomic factors : Evidence from the Indian economy created by Vanita Tripathi, Ritika Seth, and Varun Bhandari

Foreign direct investment (FDI) has boosted financial stability, growth and development in India. There has been positive growth rate in GDP since FDI in India has been allowed. FDI has also acted as the resistor during global financial crisis 2008. Many pull factors in India have attracted FDI which include rapidly expanding consumer market, easy access to other neighbouring countries, accessibility to cheaper basic inputs, well-developed and stable banking system and favourable policies for foreign investors, etc. This article attempts to find out the existence of relationship between FDI and six macroeconomic factors—Exchange rate (₹ per $), Inflation (WPI), GDP/IIP (proxy for Market size), Interest rate (91 days T-bills), Trade Openness and S&P CNX 500 Equity Index (profitability) using monthly and quarterly data for the period starting from July 1997 to December 2011. Apart from using the standard techniques, such as ADF and PP Unit root stationarity test, Bi-variate and Multi-variate Regression analysis and Granger Causality test, we have also applied advanced econometric techniques such as Johansen’s cointegration test, Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and Impulse Response analysis to check for long-run and short-run dynamic relationship.