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China's monetary policy and the exchange rate created by

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Comparative economic studies ; Volume 52, number 4Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2010Content type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
ISSN:
  • 08887233
Subject(s): LOC classification:
  • HB90 COM
Online resources: Abstract: The paper models monetary policy in China using a hybrid McCallum–Taylor empirical reaction function. The feedback rule allows for reactions to inflation and output gaps, and to developments in a trade-weighted exchange rate gap measure. The investigation finds that monetary policy in China has, on average, accommodated inflationary developments. But exchange rate shocks do not significantly affect monetary policy behaviour, and there is no evidence of a structural break in the estimated reaction function at the end of the strict dollar peg in July 2005. The paper also runs an exercise incorporating survey-based inflation expectations into the policy reaction function and meets with some success.
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The paper models monetary policy in China using a hybrid McCallum–Taylor empirical reaction function. The feedback rule allows for reactions to inflation and output gaps, and to developments in a trade-weighted exchange rate gap measure. The investigation finds that monetary policy in China has, on average, accommodated inflationary developments. But exchange rate shocks do not significantly affect monetary policy behaviour, and there is no evidence of a structural break in the estimated reaction function at the end of the strict dollar peg in July 2005. The paper also runs an exercise incorporating survey-based inflation expectations into the policy reaction function and meets with some success.

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