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Inflation and sectoral output growth variability in Bulgaria/ created by Muhammad Khan

By: Material type: TextTextSeries: Comparative economic studies ; Volume 55, number 4Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2013Content type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
ISSN:
  • 08887233
Subject(s): LOC classification:
  • HB90 COM
Online resources: Abstract: This paper analyzes the relationship between inflation and sectoral output growth variability in Bulgaria using a monthly data set from 2000:01 to 2012:08. The Bulgarian economy is working under a unique currency board setting that exclusively allows the government to influence the money supply through its fiscal position on the asset side of the central bank's balance sheet. Abrupt relative price changes across sectors bring fluctuations in sectoral output growth. Nevertheless, inflation effects on average output growth are positive and linear. Besides, persistent real exchange rate appreciation causes lower growth and higher variability under the pegged exchange rate regime.
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This paper analyzes the relationship between inflation and sectoral output growth variability in Bulgaria using a monthly data set from 2000:01 to 2012:08. The Bulgarian economy is working under a unique currency board setting that exclusively allows the government to influence the money supply through its fiscal position on the asset side of the central bank's balance sheet. Abrupt relative price changes across sectors bring fluctuations in sectoral output growth. Nevertheless, inflation effects on average output growth are positive and linear. Besides, persistent real exchange rate appreciation causes lower growth and higher variability under the pegged exchange rate regime.

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