Intelligence analysis : a target-centric approach / created by Robert M. Clark.

Previous edition: 2017.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Tables, Figures, and BoxesPreface What’s New? AcknowledgmentsPart I: The Process, the Participants, and the ProductChapter 1: Introduction Why Intelligence Fails What the Book Is About Summary NotesChapter 2: Intelligence in the Age of Contested Norms and Persistent Disorder Nature of Twenty-First-Century Conflict Tools of Conflict The Function of Intelligence Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 3: The Intelligence Process The Traditional Intelligence Cycle Intelligence as a Target-Centric Process The Target Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 4: The Customer Overview of Customers Identifying the Customer Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 5: The Analyst Critical and Logical Thinking Objectivity Broad Perspective Good Instincts The Analyst’s Role Analytic Teams Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 6: The Analytic Network The U.S. National Intelligence Network Homeland Security Military Law Enforcement Collaboration and Sharing Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 7: The Intelligence Product Intelligence Research Current Intelligence Indications and Warning What Should an Intelligence Unit Produce? Constraints on the Intelligence Product Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesPart II: The Analysis ProcessChapter 8: The Intelligence Issue Preliminary Questions Issue Definition Issue Decomposition Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 9: Target Models Modeling the Intelligence Target Some General Target Models Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 10: The Target Framework Creating a Target Framework Issue 1: Al-Shabaab Ideology Issue 2: Influencing Azerbaijan Issue 3: The Monopolitania BW Threat Alternative and Competitive Target Frameworks The Dynamic Framework Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 11: Analyzing Existing Intelligence Existing Finished Intelligence Sources of Raw Intelligence Evaluating Evidence Combining Evidence Structured Argumentation A Note about the Role of Information Technology Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 12: The Information Sources: Filling Gaps Interrelating the Issue Decomposition and Target Framework Identifying Gaps Developing the Collection Strategy Executing Collection Strategies Analyst-Collector Interaction Evaluating Collection Collection Requirements Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 13: Denial, Deception, and Signaling Denial Deception Defense against Denial and Deception: Protecting Intelligence Sources and Methods Countering Denial and Deception Signaling Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 14: Gaining Customer Acceptance Structuring the Message Presenting the Message Reviewing the Analytic Product Customer Interaction Analyst as Advocate: Getting Buy-In Aftermath: Dealing with Unexpected Outcomes Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesPart III: Anticipatory Analysis and ModelingChapter 15: Anticipatory Analysis: Forces Background Forces Synergy Causal Models Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 16: Anticipatory Analysis: Methodology Convergent and Divergent Phenomena The Estimative Approach Unintended Consequences Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 17: Outcome Scenarios Why Use Scenarios? Types of Scenarios Scenario Perspectives How to Construct Scenarios Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 18: Systems Modeling and Analysis Systems Analysis Methodology Performance Process Risk Cost Operations Research Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 19: Relationship Modeling and Analysis Link Models Network Models Network Analysis Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 20: Geospatial Modeling and Analysis Static Geospatial Models Dynamic Geospatial Models Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 21: Simulation Modeling Types of Simulations Creating and Running a Simulation Simulations Used in Intelligence Analysis Decision Modeling and Simulation Checking the Decision Model: Red Team Analysis Summary Critical Thinking Questions NotesChapter 22: Case Study: A Tale of Two NIEs The Yugoslavia NIE The Iraqi Weapons of Mass Destruction NIE Critical Thinking Questions NotesList of Commonly Used AcronymsIndexAbout the Author

Now in its Sixth Edition, Robert M. Clark′s Intelligence Analysis: A Target-Centric Approach once again delivers a consistent, clear method for teaching intelligence analysis—demonstrating how a collaborative, target-centric approach leads to sharper and more effective analysis.