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The R-word index for Switzerland

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Applied Economics Letters ; Volume , number ,New York Taylor & Francis 2013Content type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
Subject(s): Online resources: Summary: In a pioneering attempt, we present the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. We evaluate its predictive ability of GDP growth using real-time vintages of GDP data, closely simulating flow of information in the past. We find that inclusion of the R-word index led to a statistically significant improvement in forecast accuracy over the benchmark autoregressive (AR) model. Largest improvements in forecast accuracy were observed in the period around the Great Recession.
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Item type Current library Call number Vol info Status Notes Date due Barcode
Journal Article Journal Article Main Library - Special Collections HB1.A666 APP (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Vol.20 , No.10 - 12 (Aug 2013) Not for loan For In House Use Only

In a pioneering attempt, we present the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. We evaluate its predictive ability of GDP growth using real-time vintages of GDP data, closely simulating flow of information in the past. We find that inclusion of the R-word index led to a statistically significant improvement in forecast accuracy over the benchmark autoregressive (AR) model. Largest improvements in forecast accuracy were observed in the period around the Great Recession.

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