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Do changes in consumers' home buying attitudes predict directional change in home sales?/ created by Hamid Baghestani, Ilker Kaya and Samer Kherfi

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Applied economics letters ; Volume 20, number 5New York: Taylor and Francis, 2013Content type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
ISSN:
  • 13504851
Subject(s): LOC classification:
  • HB1.A666 APP
Online resources: Abstract: The Survey of Consumers probes consumer sentiment on personal finances, business conditions and buying conditions. We focus on the latter category by examining the surveys question ‘Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to buy a house?’ and the follow-up question ‘Why do you say so?’ The responses to these questions provide us with several measures of consumers' home buying attitudes. We show that changes in survey data on home buying attitudes (measured by consumers' assessments of current and future mortgage interest rates and house prices) accurately predict the direction of change in home sales 3 months later.
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The Survey of Consumers probes consumer sentiment on personal finances, business conditions and buying conditions. We focus on the latter category by examining the surveys question ‘Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to buy a house?’ and the follow-up question ‘Why do you say so?’ The responses to these questions provide us with several measures of consumers' home buying attitudes. We show that changes in survey data on home buying attitudes (measured by consumers' assessments of current and future mortgage interest rates and house prices) accurately predict the direction of change in home sales 3 months later.

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