Understanding momentum in commodity markets
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Item type | Current library | Call number | Vol info | Status | Notes | Date due | Barcode | |
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Main Library - Special Collections | HB1.A666 APP (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Vol.20 , No. 13 - 15 , (Oct 2013) | Not for loan | For In House Use Only |
This article investigates momentum strategies in commodity markets. Using a Markov-switching model and formal tests for the number of regimes in the data, we identify momentum trends for a variety of commodities, exchange rates, interest rates and equities. The data cover the period 1995–2012 at a daily frequency. The results shed light on the key differences between commodities and standard assets with regard to the presence of trends, mean-reverting behaviour and number of regimes that would need to be accurately taken into account to build profitable trend-following strategies. The results are also of economic significance for researchers interested in the modelling of commodity time series.
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