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Predicting Bank of England's asset purchase decisions with MPC voting records

By: Material type: TextTextSeries: Applied Economics Letters ; Volume , number ,New York Taylor & Francis 2013Content type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
Subject(s): Online resources: Summary: We use the MPC voting records to predict changes in the volume of asset purchases. We find, first, that minority voting favouring an increase in the volume of asset purchases raises the probability of an actual increase at the next meeting. Second, minority voting supporting a higher Bank Rate decreases the likelihood of further asset purchases.
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We use the MPC voting records to predict changes in the volume of asset purchases. We find, first, that minority voting favouring an increase in the volume of asset purchases raises the probability of an actual increase at the next meeting. Second, minority voting supporting a higher Bank Rate decreases the likelihood of further asset purchases.

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