MARC details
000 -LEADER |
fixed length control field |
02153nam a22002297a 4500 |
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER |
control field |
ZW-GwMSU |
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION |
control field |
20240327131414.0 |
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
fixed length control field |
240327b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
Original cataloging agency |
MSU |
Language of cataloging |
English |
Transcribing agency |
MSU |
Description conventions |
rda |
050 00 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER |
Classification number |
HB139.T52 ECO |
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
McDermott, C. John ; |
Relator term |
author |
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT |
Title |
The New Zealand business cycle |
Statement of responsibility, etc. |
by Viv B. Hall and C. John McDermott |
264 1# - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE |
Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture |
Cambridge : |
Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer |
Cambridge University Press, |
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice |
2009 |
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE |
Source |
rdacontent |
Content type term |
text |
Content type code |
txt |
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE |
Source |
rdamedia |
Media type term |
unmediated |
Media type code |
n |
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE |
Source |
rdacarrier |
Carrier type term |
volume |
Carrier type code |
nc |
440 ## - SERIES STATEMENT/ADDED ENTRY--TITLE |
Title |
Econometric Theory |
Volume/sequential designation |
Volume 25, number 4 |
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
Summary, etc. |
The current economic expansion is one of the more enduring in New Zealand’s post-war period. But is this a change from past behaviour? We examine New Zealand’s post-war business cycles for the sample period 1946 to 2005, using a newly developed 60-year quarterly time series for real GDP. The non-parametric Bry and Boschan (1971) algorithm is used to derive Classical business cycle turning points, and to underpin the establishment of key cycle characteristics. The latter include cycle asymmetries, volatility, diversity and degree of duration dependence. Markov-switching models estimated by Gibbs-sampling methods (Kim and Nelson, 1999), are then used to derive mean growth rate and volatility regimes, and to draw implications. Results point to a return to a more rhythmic pattern of long expansions and short contractions, after that pattern was interrupted following the oil shocks of the 1970s and New Zealand’s reforms of the mid- to late-1980s and early 1990s. More rhythmic patterns should not be mistaken for a predetermined pattern, as duration test results show that cycle expansion paths do not age. This, together with the observation that rates of growth are not dissimilar across the more sustained expansion phases, implies that in order to enhance New Zealand’s prosperity, policies are required that extend business cycle expansions without allowing the excesses that undermine those expansions to build up |
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
Topical term or geographic name entry element |
Business cycle |
Geographic subdivision |
New Zealand |
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Hall, Viv |
Relator term |
co-author |
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Library of Congress Classification |
Koha item type |
Journal Article |